Ai S Honeymoon Is Over 12 Predictions For 2026 Forbes
Every year I make a list of predictions & score last year’s predictions. 2025 was a good year : I scored 7.85 out of 10. I will release the scoring tomorrow. For today, here are my predictions for 2026 : This has already happened with consumers. Waymo rides cost 31% more than Uber on average, yet demand keeps growing.
1 Riders prefer the safety & reliability of autonomous vehicles. For rote business tasks, agents will command a similar premium as companies factor in onboarding, recruiting, training, & management costs. SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic, Stripe, & Databricks IPO, with SpaceX & OpenAI ranking among the ten largest offerings ever. The pent-up demand from 4+ years of drought finally breaks. Fear of disruption by fast-growing AI systems drives defensive acquisitions exceeding $25b as incumbents buy rather than build. Multimodal models & world/state-space models demand new data architectures.
Vector databases grow revenue explosively as they become the connective tissue between foundation models & enterprise data. According to METR, AI task duration doubles every 7 months. 2 Current frontier models reliably complete tasks taking people about an hour. Extrapolating this trend, by late 2026, AI agents will autonomously execute 8+ hour workstreams, fundamentally changing how companies staff projects. “Are employees partners or pink slips?” is just one of the key questions companies/C-Suites need to answer in 2026 according to these 12 AI predictions for 2026. None of these are about the specific technologies of AI, instead they focus on how companies do business and manage their investments, people, brand and culture.
With the pace of AI change it is all too easy to focused on the technology and its applications… This article is worth the read as a reminder that at some point, the hard... If the opening partner vs pink slips question didn’t make you think, here is another: “If revenue can now scale independently of headcount, what is our obligation to the employees whose roles are displaced,... It could be anything from being too generous, to zero obligations. #AIImpact #AI2026
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Every Year I Make A List Of Predictions & Score
Every year I make a list of predictions & score last year’s predictions. 2025 was a good year : I scored 7.85 out of 10. I will release the scoring tomorrow. For today, here are my predictions for 2026 : This has already happened with consumers. Waymo rides cost 31% more than Uber on average, yet demand keeps growing.
1 Riders Prefer The Safety & Reliability Of Autonomous Vehicles.
1 Riders prefer the safety & reliability of autonomous vehicles. For rote business tasks, agents will command a similar premium as companies factor in onboarding, recruiting, training, & management costs. SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic, Stripe, & Databricks IPO, with SpaceX & OpenAI ranking among the ten largest offerings ever. The pent-up demand from 4+ years of drought finally breaks. Fear of disrupt...
Vector Databases Grow Revenue Explosively As They Become The Connective
Vector databases grow revenue explosively as they become the connective tissue between foundation models & enterprise data. According to METR, AI task duration doubles every 7 months. 2 Current frontier models reliably complete tasks taking people about an hour. Extrapolating this trend, by late 2026, AI agents will autonomously execute 8+ hour workstreams, fundamentally changing how companies sta...
With The Pace Of AI Change It Is All Too
With the pace of AI change it is all too easy to focused on the technology and its applications… This article is worth the read as a reminder that at some point, the hard... If the opening partner vs pink slips question didn’t make you think, here is another: “If revenue can now scale independently of headcount, what is our obligation to the employees whose roles are displaced,... It could be anyt...