The Consensus Mock Debacled Wf

Bonisiwe Shabane

-Nov 2, 2025, 4:34 AM

Welcome to WalterFootball.com's Consensus Mock Draft Report. No, usually crowds shouldn't be followed, but it never hurts to be aware of where they are headed. The Titans are hopeful to get their next franchise QB and stay pat to select Cam Ward. Ward has the most passing touchdowns in NCAA history. His skill set is a bit more modern than Shedeur Sanders’ and his personality is much more manageable. The Tit ...

read more... Titans said yesterday per Adam Schefter that they would be looking to take generational talent and not necessarily QB. With Jeffrey Simmons possibly leaving and their defense getting seemingly worse every year, Titans could take pass rusher and roll ... read more... Abdul Carter's questionable foot injury (surgery? no surgery?) crystallizes my choice at #1 -- for now.

I don't think any QB is worth mortgaging a trade up to #1 for, so the Titans stick and pick a player that's the "generational talent" their GM wan ... read more... The Titans can thank the Jaguars for putting them in position to obtain a franchise quarterback now ... read more ... The Titans can thank the Jaguars for putting them in position to obtain a franchise quarterback now that they have a top-two selection. This assumes that they don’t sign Aaron Rodgers and look elsewhere for a signal-caller.

Rodgers to Tennessee is a very real possibility, however, and this mock will obvioulsy be adjusted if that happens. I’ve switched this pick from Shedeur Sanders to Cam Ward for two reasons. First, Deion Sanders, who will have a say in where his son plays, may not want Shedeur in Tennessee because of how the organization handled Ran Carthon’s firing. Deion was openly upset about this move. Second, there might be a trend for teams to find the next Jayden Daniels, and Ward resembles Daniels more than Sanders. Ward is a dual-threat quarterback who was very productive at Washington State and now Miami.

*** OTHER 2025 NFL DRAFT POSSIBILITIES: *** 1. None – The only way Ward isn’t the pick is if he falls down the stairs or is abducted by aliens. Signing up for Premium will give you access to all of Walt's content ad-free. We'll need an account setup here on Debacled, then a payment through PayPal. At that point you'll be able to view content ad-free on the main site by clicking the 'check-in' button on top of the site.

Ad-free content is available here on Debacled as well. Consider the Debacled version an insurance policy, or your own unique way of reading Walt's content. Debacled is also the place where WFDevTeam will, from time to time, develop out new features or reports. Any suggestions or complaints email WFDevTeam at dfield6091@gmail.com. We have our first Premium Subscribers exclusive reporting feature in Premium Reports. This offers an overview of Walt's picks, the ability to pull in his analysis on games you care about, see the running tab of how Walt is doing in certain situations, (home, away, favorites,...

By completing this step you'll be able to comment, build your own mocks, and participate in our contests. I've made a promise throughout the 22 years of running WalterFootball.com that all of the content produced on this Web site would be completely free. Because of employee salaries, ridiculous corporate taxes and Web hosting costs, maintaining WalterFootball.com has been expensive. Losing advertising during the pandemic didn't help matters, so we've had to increase the number of advertisements on this Web site to compensate. At the risk of sounding immodest, I believe my data-driven process for this mock produced something more packed with information than any you’ll find anywhere out on the draft-prediction streets. It doesn’t have the details of “why” on every player selection or my personal opinions on the various prospects.

But it does have the benefit of the wisdom of crowds, and a layer of uncertainty you’ll never find in a single mock draft. A picture is worth a thousand words, and below you’ll find detailed visualizations for the top-32 players according to mock draft data collected by Benjamin Robinson at Grinding the Mocks. I’m including the first pick of the second round, as the Panthers don’t have a first-round pick and it will be their top selection. I’m lucky to have a partnership with Robinson this offseason with access to his data. You will not find a more comprehensive data set for mock drafts, which is combined with Robinson’s work gauging the prior accuracy of major mock drafters. That work comes together in the “Weighted Mocks” score he has for each draft selection for every prospect.

You’ll find that score on a percentage basis on the Y axis. Here’s an explanation of how weighted mocks is calculated from Robinson: To calculate "Adjusted Mock Drafts", we use "Grinding the Mocks" pick-by-pick mock draft data at Player, Pick, and team level. As the draft order has only just been finalized, this data should become more firm as the draft process goes on. Player, team, and pick mock drafts are counted and then adjusted accordingly based on the draftnik's historic accuracy and how close the mock draft is from the date of the NFL draft. Years of draft watching tells us that there is an additional layer of uncertainty missing in terms of a player going at a fully unexpected draft position, especially when any team can trade up...

For this first consensus mock run, I’m just presenting the straight numbers based on the weighted mock draft data. As we get closer to the draft, I’ll attempt to add needed uncertainty to the range of possibilities based on historical patterns. Plus, we’ll get deeper and more robust mock drafts as the offseason progresses. * Subscribe to get all of the Unexpected Points content, including precise draft grading and analysis for every team This is the final version of the consensus mock data, which I first published a few weeks back. This includes mock drafts from media analysts though Monday, April 21st, when most drop their final versions.

Now we’ve collected a lot more mock draft data, solidifying potential landing spots and ranges of outcomes for the top prospects. I’m expanding this version beyond the first round to the top 45 prospects by estimated draft position. For some prospects who are missing from mocks, the distribution of weighted mocks can be a bit deceiving, i.e. their rankings is much lower than the picks they’ve been mocked to. Prospects are lowered in ranking when they are excluded from mocks, not making the round cutoff. You will not find a more comprehensive data set for mock drafts than this analysis, which is combined with Benjamin Robinson’s work at Grinding The Mocks which gauges the prior accuracy of established mock...

That work comes together in the “Weighted Mocks” score he has for each draft selection for every prospect. You’ll find that score on a percentage basis on the Y axis. Here’s an explanation of how weighted mocks is calculated from Robinson: To calculate "Adjusted Mock Drafts", we use "Grinding the Mocks" pick-by-pick mock draft data at Player, Pick, and team level. As the draft order has only just been finalized, this data should become more firm as the draft process goes on. Player, team, and pick mock drafts are counted and then adjusted accordingly based on the draftnik's historic accuracy and how close the mock draft is from the date of the NFL draft.

The Consensus Mock Debacled Wf

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