R Singularity On Reddit So The Agi Countdown Clock Is At 3 Years What

By one major metric, artificial general intelligence is much closer than you think. Here’s what you’ll learn when you read this story: In the world of artificial intelligence, the idea of “singularity” looms large. This slippery concept describes the moment AI exceeds beyond human control and rapidly transforms society. The tricky thing about AI singularity (and why it borrows terminology from black hole physics) is that it’s enormously difficult to predict where it begins and nearly impossible to know what’s beyond this technological... However, some AI researchers are on the hunt for signs of reaching singularity measured by AI progress approaching the skills and ability comparable to a human.

One such metric, defined by Translated, a Rome-based translation company, is an AI’s ability to translate speech at the accuracy of a human. Language is one of the most difficult AI challenges, but a computer that could close that gap could theoretically show signs of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). We analyzed 8,590 scientists’, leading entrepreneurs’, and the community’s predictions for quick answers on Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) / singularity timeline: Explore key predictions on AGI from experts like Sam Altman and Demis Hassabis, insights from major AI surveys on AGI timelines, and arguments for and against the feasibility of AGI: This timeline outlines the anticipated year of the singularity, based on insights gathered from 15 surveys, including responses from 8,590 AI researchers, scientists, and participants in prediction markets: As you can see above, survey respondents are increasingly expecting the singularity to occur earlier than previously expected.

Below you can see the studies and predictions that make up this timeline, or skip to understanding the singularity. AGI = artificial general intelligence = a machine that performs at the level of an average (median) human. ASI = artificial superintelligence = a machine that performs at the level of an expert human in practically any field. I use a slightly stricter definition for AGI that includes the ability to act on the physical world via embodiment. I appreciate that there were some approaches on getting to AGI that fully bypass embodiment or robotics. Artificial general intelligence (AGI) is a machine capable of understanding the world as well as—or better than—any human, in practically every field, including the ability to interact with the world via physical embodiment.

And the short version: ‘AGI is a machine which is as good or better than a human in every aspect’. Here's what keeps AI researchers awake at night: Every major AI system is accelerating faster than anyone predicted. The question isn't if artificial intelligence will surpass human intelligence—it's when. And according to our analysis of 12+ leading AI models and expert predictions, that "when" might be sooner than you think. // CLASSIFICATION: UNCLASSIFIED // SOURCE: MULTI-MODEL ANALYSIS // UPDATED: REAL-TIME // We asked the smartest AI systems on Earth when they think AGI will happen.Their answers might surprise you.

Median expert prediction for AGI arrival

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