University of Kwazulu-Natal

Grayscale Predicts Minimal Impact Of Quantum Computing On 2026 Crypto

Bonisiwe Shabane
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grayscale predicts minimal impact of quantum computing on 2026 crypto

As 2025 draws to a close, investor attention is converging around two big questions: how quickly Washington will deliver a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, and whether advances in quantum computing pose an... In Grayscale’s view, one of these debates is likely to reshape markets in the near term, while the other may prove more of a distraction than a driver. The firm's analysts expect a bipartisan crypto market structure bill to become law in 2026, marking a milestone for the asset class. While negotiations remain over key details, the analysts said the broad direction is clear: Lawmakers are moving toward a traditional financial-market rulebook for crypto, covering registration and disclosure requirements, clearer classifications of digital assets... A more complete and harmonized regulatory framework in the U.S., and potentially across other major economies, could have practical consequences for adoption. Over the last couple of years, advances in quantum computing have raised blockchain security concerns.

As we step into 2026, these concerns have only risen, with many speculating an imminent threat to crypto and blockchain. However, crypto asset manager Grayscale believes that regulations will have more impact on the market than crypto computing. In a recent report, Grayscale noted that the two biggest questions capturing the attention of crypto investors are how quickly the U.S. will launch a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets and whether quantum computing advancements will pose an imminent threat to blockchain security. According to the crypto asset manager, one of these debates will likely reshape the crypto markets in 2026, while the other may prove more of a distraction than a driver. In Grayscale’s view, the U.S.

will most likely pass a comprehensive bipartisan crypto asset framework in 2026. Grayscale believes that this bill could apply existing traditional financial rules to digital asset classes. The bill could cover registration, disclosure requirements, asset classifications, and insider trading protections for the digital asset market. If clearer rules and regulations are passed, Grayscale believes that it could accelerate institutional crypto adoption and increase on-chain activity. According to a Grayscale report on the outlook for 2026, a holistic approach of crypto rules in unison with regular rules may affect the adoption of crypto in the U.S., as well as other... The research team at the multibillion-dollar asset management firm Grayscale has played down fears that quantum computing could threaten cryptocurrencies in 2026.

The firm argues the technology is not advanced enough to impact blockchain security or market activity. Notably, Grayscale shared this view in its latest report, “2026 Digital Asset Outlook: Dawn of the Institutional Era.” The firm lists quantum computing among factors unlikely to influence digital asset prices, adoption, or institutional participation next year. Instead, it said investors should focus on near-term drivers such as regulation, capital inflows, and market structure rather than speculative technology risks. Related: Grayscale to Convert Chainlink Trust to ETF, Debuting This Week According to Grayscale, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major blockchains are unlikely to be affected by quantum computing in 2026.

Grayscale, a prominent digital asset management firm, stated in a report published Monday that quantum computing will not have a significant impact on cryptocurrency valuations in 2026. In its “2026 Digital Asset Outlook” report, Grayscale didn’t rule out a long-term risk to blockchain cryptography, but deemed it unlikely to “meaningfully” influence cryptocurrency markets, including Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC). “Bitcoin and most other blockchains — and virtually everything else in the economy that uses cryptography — will eventually need to be updated for post-quantum tools,” the report read. Grayscale added that research on quantum risk and community preparedness efforts will “likely accelerate” in 2026. That said, Grayscale referred to expert projections indicating that a quantum computer potent enough to crack Bitcoin's cryptography is “unlikely to materialize” before 2030. Quantum computing threats to Bitcoin are real but pose no immediate risk to cryptocurrency markets or valuations in 2026, according to Grayscale’s latest report.

The technology remains years away from breaking current encryption, allowing ongoing research into post-quantum solutions without short-term market disruption. Grayscale dismisses quantum risks as a ‘red herring’ for 2026 crypto valuations. Quantum computers could theoretically forge Bitcoin signatures but require massive advancements not expected soon. Post-quantum cryptography research is accelerating, with cryptographically relevant quantum machines unlikely before 2030, per DARPA benchmarks and expert analyses. Explore quantum computing threats to Bitcoin and why they won’t impact 2026 markets per Grayscale. Learn about post-quantum safeguards and stay ahead in crypto security—read now for expert insights.

As the cryptocurrency market gears up for the new year, investment firm Grayscale has spotlighted two critical issues in its latest quarterly report: the vulnerability of current cryptographic systems to quantum computing and the... These themes, while not expected to dramatically sway prices in the short term, are poised to spark intense professional discourse and shape the long-term evolution of digital assets. Quantum computing represents a profound, albeit theoretical, risk to blockchain security and broader economic infrastructures reliant on cryptography. In essence, a sufficiently advanced quantum computer could exploit algorithms like Shor's to derive a private key from its corresponding public key, allowing malicious actors to forge valid digital signatures and unauthorizedly transfer funds. This vulnerability extends beyond cryptocurrencies to encompass global financial systems, communications, and data protection protocols. Fears that quantum computers could undermine Bitcoin’s security are unlikely to affect crypto markets in 2026, investment firm Grayscale said in a new report that dismissed the technology’s near-term risk.

In its 2026 Digital Asset Outlook, the asset manager called quantum computing a “red herring” for the year ahead, saying the technology posed a long-term cryptographic challenge but was not expected to influence the... “We believe that research and preparedness will continue on post-quantum cryptography, but this issue is unlikely to affect valuations in the next year,” Grayscale analysts wrote. The report echoed concerns of cryptographers who have long warned that a sufficiently powerful quantum computer could break public-key cryptography used to secure Bitcoin and other blockchains. In such a scenario, researchers say an attacker could, in principle, derive private keys from publicly visible information.

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