University of Kwazulu-Natal

Gold S Next Test Wgc Warns 2026 Could Make Or Break Bullion

Bonisiwe Shabane
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gold s next test wgc warns 2026 could make or break bullion

After a year that reshaped global perceptions of gold, the World Gold Council explores the various possibilities for the yellow metal heading into 2026. Investors should brace for continued economic uncertainty and financial market volatility in 2026, the World Gold Council (WGC) warns in its 2026 outlook — and those circumstances could have various effects on gold. After a blistering 2025 that has so far seen the yellow metal hit more than 50 all-time highs and rise over 60 percent, the WGC says 2026 could deliver anything from a modest rally... The year was a contest between bullish forces tied to slowing global growth and persistent political instability, and bearish pressures that could emerge if the Trump administration successfully lifts US economic performance. For now, the WGC says the gold price “broadly reflects macroeconomic consensus expectations,” suggesting it could remain rangebound, although factors like softer growth and geopolitical turmoil are likely to provide support. Gold has experienced a remarkable 2025, achieving over 50 all-time highs and returning over 60%.1 This performance has been supported by a combination of heightened geopolitical and economic uncertainty, a weaker US dollar, and...

Both investors and central banks have increased their allocations to gold, seeking diversification and stability. Looking to 2026, the outlook is shaped by ongoing geoeconomic uncertainty. The gold price broadly reflects macroeconomic consensus expectations and may remain rangebound if current conditions persist. However, taking cues from this year, 2026 will likely continue to surprise. If economic growth slows and interest rates fall further, gold could see moderate gains. In a more severe downturn marked by rising global risks, gold could perform strongly.

Conversely, a successful outcome from policies set by the Trump administration would accelerate economic growth and reduce geopolitical risk, leading to higher rates and a stronger US dollar, pushing gold lower. Additional factors, such as central bank demand and gold recycling trends, could also influence the market. Most importantly, gold’s role as a portfolio diversifier and source of stability remains key amid continued market volatility. Login or register to read the text, view charts and download the files.. Registration is free, quick and easy. It gives you access to all downloads on this website.

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Gold prices may rise between 15 per cent and 30 per cent in 2026, according to a new outlook from the World Gold Council (WGC), which expects lingering geopolitical tensions and a flight to... The projection comes after a remarkable run in calendar year 2025 (CY25), during which gold surged nearly 53 per cent amid US tariffs, global uncertainty, and large-scale central bank purchases, reported Business Standard. The WGC report noted that falling yields, heightened geopolitical anxiety, and a strong investor preference for safe assets could create “exceptionally strong tailwinds” for bullion in CY26. Under such conditions, the precious metal could record one of its strongest years yet. Investors poured aggressively into gold during CY25 as global markets reacted to rising friction between the US and major economies, tariff escalations, and persistent geopolitical flashpoints. Central banks also played a critical role, buying gold at a rapid pace while major economies recalibrated interest-rate strategies.

In parallel, investment demand through gold ETFs soared. WGC data shows global gold ETFs attracted $77 billion in inflows in CY25, adding more than 700 tonnes to holdings. Extending the timeframe back to May 2024 raises the figure to 850 tonnes, still only half the size of allocations seen during earlier bull cycles, leaving, as WGC puts it, “ample room for growth.” Central bank purchases of gold and their moves on interest rates also shaped gold’s price trajectory in CY25. Don't miss the most important news and views of the day. Get them on our Telegram channel

First Published: Dec 04 2025 | 2:31 PM IST Listen to this article in summarized format (What's moving Sensex and Nifty Track latest market news, stock tips, Budget 2025, Share Market on Budget 2025 and expert advice, on ETMarkets. Also, ETMarkets.com is now on Telegram. For fastest news alerts on financial markets, investment strategies and stocks alerts, subscribe to our Telegram feeds .) Subscribe to ET Prime and read the Economic Times ePaper Online.and Sensex Today.

Top Trending Stocks: SBI Share Price, Axis Bank Share Price, HDFC Bank Share Price, Infosys Share Price, Wipro Share Price, NTPC Share Price (What's moving Sensex and Nifty Track latest market news, stock tips, Budget 2025, Share Market on Budget 2025 and expert advice, on ETMarkets. Also, ETMarkets.com is now on Telegram. For fastest news alerts on financial markets, investment strategies and stocks alerts, subscribe to our Telegram feeds .) Gold price is trading at $4,191 per ounce today (Tuesday) December 9, 2025, holding near the elevated levels that defined 2025's historic rally. After surging 61% this year with over 50 all-time highs, the fourth strongest annual return since 1971, gold now faces a critical question: what will 2026 bring?

According to the World Gold Council's (WGC) newly released Gold Outlook 2026 report, the answer depends on whether US President Donald Trump's reflation policies succeed. In the organization's most bearish scenario, gold price could crash between 5% and 20% from current $4,200 baseline levels, potentially dropping to a range of $3,360 to $3,990 per ounce. In this article I am checking the newest gold price prediction to try to answer the question: How low can gold go in 2026? The World Gold Council doesn't offer a single prediction for 2026. Instead, the team headed by Juan Carlos Artigas, Regional CEO (Americas) and Global Head of Research at the WGC, presents four distinct macroeconomic scenarios in the organization's Gold Outlook 2026 report, each with dramatically... "Looking to 2026, the outlook is shaped by ongoing geoeconomic uncertainty," the report states.

"The gold price broadly reflects macroeconomic consensus expectations and may remain rangebound if current conditions persist. However, taking cues from this year, 2026 will likely continue to surprise."

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