Gold Price Prediction 2026 Will It Fall Below Rs 1 1 Lakh Or Rise

Bonisiwe Shabane

-Dec 27, 2025, 3:22 PM

gold price prediction 2026 will it fall below rs 1 1 lakh or rise

Indian gold prices are expected to continue rising, trading in the range of Rs 99,500 to Rs 110,000 per ten grams over the rest of 2025, and moving higher to Rs 110,000 to Rs... "Risks to these projections are to the upside if the INR trades at a much depreciated level against the USD than our projections. We have assumed an average range of 87.00-89.00 for the USD/INR pair for the period," noted the report. The report highlights that global gold prices have surged about 33 per cent so far in 2025, supported by expectations of monetary easing by the US Federal Reserve and persistent institutional concerns about the... Analysts forecast global bullion to average USD 3,400-3,600 per ounce during the remainder of 2025 and strengthen further to USD 3,600-3,800 per ounce in the first half of 2026. "If geo-political tensions intensify, there could be a further upside to these ranges," adds the report.

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Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. The information provided is for informational purposes only. No information, materials, services, or other content provided on this page is a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or any financial, investment, or other advice. Always seek independent consultation from a professional before making any investment. Gold price predictions for 2026 indicate widespread bullish sentiment, as the broader market suffers under the weight of macroeconomic decay, geopolitical disruption, and political volatility. Following a months-long breather in the middle of 2025, gold is expected to wake up with renewed energy to the upside.

Although it’s impossible to predict precisely where gold prices are headed in 2026, looking at what the experts are saying can give investors a more accurate perspective on the market’s trajectory. Following a more than 27% surge in 2024, gold entered 2025 with already bullish expectations baked into forecasts. Once again, the yellow metal shattered even those optimistic projections, forcing analysts and institutions into a familiar pattern of upward revisions, only to see prices surge beyond them yet again. Picture this: You’re scrolling through the news one morning, sipping your chai, and bam – another headline about gold prices hitting a new high. It’s been quite the ride lately, hasn’t it? As of mid-December 2025, 24-karat gold is hovering around Rs 1,34,000 to Rs 1,35,000 per 10 grams in major Indian cities.

That’s a far cry from just a few years ago when it was under Rs 50,000. With weddings around the corner and festivals lighting up the calendar, everyone’s asking the same burning question: Can gold prices cross Rs 2,00,000 per 10gm in 2026? It’s a bold thought, right? Gold has always been more than just a shiny metal in India – it’s family heirlooms, wedding dreams, and a safety net during tough times. But crossing that Rs 2 lakh mark? That would be historic.

In this article, we’ll break it down step by step, looking at where we’ve been, what’s happening now, and what experts are saying about the future. We’ll keep it real, no hype, just straightforward insights to help you make sense of it all. Gold prices don’t just jump overnight; they’ve been climbing steadily, with some dramatic leaps along the way. Let’s take a quick stroll down memory lane to see how we got here. Back in 2020, amid the chaos of the pandemic, the average gold price in India shot up to around Rs 48,651 per 10 grams. Uncertainty was everywhere, and people flocked to gold as a safe haven.

Fast forward to 2021-2022, things cooled a bit as economies reopened, but then geopolitical tensions – think Russia-Ukraine – kicked in, pushing prices higher again. By 2023 and 2024, inflation worries and a fluctuating rupee kept the momentum going. And 2025? Wow, what a year! Gold price has smashed records repeatedly, driven by global uncertainties, central bank buying sprees, and investor frenzy. We’ve seen it surge past Rs 1,30,000, with peaks touching close to Rs 1,35,000 per 10 grams.

That’s over a 60% jump in some global measures this year alone. If you’re sitting on gold investments or thinking about buying, you’re probably asking yourself: Is this the right time? Will prices keep climbing, or are we headed for a correction? Here’s the reality: Gold just surged 63% in a single year, reaching ₹1,27,040 per 10 grams as of November 2025. That’s a massive gain—but it also means you’re at a critical decision point. In this deep-dive analysis, you’ll discover exactly where gold prices are headed through 2026, backed by data from central bank purchases, geopolitical trends, and Federal Reserve policy signals.

Whether you’re protecting your wealth or looking to profit, this guide gives you three detailed scenarios—best case, base case, and worst case—so you can make informed decisions today. As of November 15, 2025, gold prices in India have reached unprecedented levels: Year-over-Year Growth: 63% increase from November 2024 See the top gainers, losers, invest and get updated what's happening in the crypto market Discover the secret world of unlisted shares — analyse India's top pre-IPO companies and invest before they hit the markets The prediction by Bulgarian clairvoyant Baba Vanga that gold prices will skyrocket in 2026 has sparked widespread debate among investors and economists alike.

Many see it as both a warning and an opportunity amid growing concerns about the global economy. Recently, during Diwali 2025, gold prices peaked at ₹13,277 per gram for 24-carat gold on October 17, 2025, but have since fallen to ₹12,328 per gram as of October 27, 2025. However, experts believe the metal will surge again during the next financial downturn, much like the last recession, when gold prices jumped by nearly 50%. According to analysts, gold could appreciate by 25%–40% by Diwali 2026, pushing the price of 10 grams of 24-carat gold to between ₹1.62 lakh and ₹1.82 lakh. They cite global trade tensions, inflation, and banking instability as primary drivers of this expected surge. Gold has been a cornerstone of wealth preservation in India for generations.

It is deeply embedded in the culture, celebrated during festivals, weddings, and used as a hedge against financial uncertainty. As we enter 2026, all eyes are on gold—a precious metal that not only holds sentimental value but also remains a trusted investment tool. This article explores the projected gold price trends for 2026, analyzing expert insights, economic factors, and historical data to give you a clear outlook. To predict the future, we must understand the past. In 2024, gold prices surged to an average of ₹80,450 per 10 grams due to inflation fears, global economic instability, and robust consumer demand. By 2025, this figure jumped to ₹93,353—a staggering 22.57% increase from the start of the year.

The rise was largely influenced by geopolitical tensions, a weakening rupee, and increased demand from both central banks and retail buyers. Investment banks like Goldman Sachs even revised their forecasts, predicting gold to hit $3,700 per ounce, signaling even stronger momentum than earlier anticipated. According to expert projections, the average price of 24-carat gold in India in 2026 is expected to be around ₹91,095 per 10 grams. This represents a marginal correction from the 2025 peak of ₹93,353. While this might seem like a decline, it’s essential to view it in context. The predicted softening is not a crash, but rather a market adjustment.

It reflects the expected global economic recovery, controlled inflation, and possibly higher interest rates, which often reduce gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. With gold prices having the best year since the 1970s, many investors may hesitate to invest in the precious metal. Has it hit its peak, after all? Here are the latest gold forecasts and price predictions for 2026 from banks and leading industry experts. Gold price today: Gold spot (XAU/USD) has surged over 60% in 2025, breaking more than 50 record highs and topping $4,000/oz amid central bank buying, geopolitical risks, Fed easing, and dollar weakness. This historic rally reflects structural shifts like global debasement trades and ETF restocking, with experts debating if $5,000/oz arrives in 2026.

This article provides an in-depth market outlook and gold price predictions for Q4 2025, 2026 and beyond, examining critical market themes and key drivers, as well as valuable insights into price action dynamics, that... Gold rally is forecast to moderate into 2026. A $5,000 test is more likely than a decline towards $3,000, with $4,000 expected to become the new long-term support area. Get more gold sentiment and trading signals, forecasts and news with NAGA Insights.

Gold Price Prediction 2026 Will It Fall Below Rs 1 1 Lakh Or Rise

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