Gold Price Forecast 2026 Wisdomtree These 5 Looming Risks Could Send

Bonisiwe Shabane

-Dec 27, 2025, 11:59 PM

gold price forecast 2026 wisdomtree these 5 looming risks could send

(Catch all the US News, UK News, Canada News, International Breaking News Events, and Latest News Updates on The Economic Times.) Download The Economic Times News App to get Daily International News Updates. (Catch all the US News, UK News, Canada News, International Breaking News Events, and Latest News Updates on The Economic Times.) Download The Economic Times News App to get Daily International News Updates. Gold is closing out 2025 with price action that's forcing traders to recalibrate their usual reference levels. With gold already at record highs near $4,497, the market has the feel of a late-cycle move marked by strong momentum, shallow pullbacks, and many late buyers chasing breakouts.

That's the framework traders must heed as they approach 2026. When gold rallies this strongly, it can continue to surge even when indicators appear overextended. At the same time, the first real shift in rates, the dollar, or risk mood can turn a vertical rally into a fast, ugly retracement. In the following forecast article, we present a practical outlook for 2026 based on the latest market data, positioning indicators, and a comprehensive technical map featuring tradable levels. Overall technical bias: Bullish, with overheating risk. Short-term (next 1–2 weeks): The price can maintain a bid stance while above the $4,474–$4,462 pivot support zone.

A clean push and hold above $4,503–$4,516 opens continuation risk. Gold prices could climb to $3,850 per ounce by the second quarter of 2026, according to a new forecast from WisdomTree. The report also warns that if the Trump administration adopts a deliberate weak-dollar policy, prices could soar to a record $5,355 per ounce. Gold reached an all-time high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22 and has since traded in a range between $3,200 and $3,400 per ounce. Analysts believe the current phase is a period of consolidation before another upward move. According to WisdomTree, a short dip toward $3,024 per ounce, which corresponds to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, is possible.

However, the firm expects a strong rebound that could push prices toward $3,850 per ounce by mid-2026. The forecast identifies five major risks that could drive gold prices higher. First, ongoing trade uncertainty remains a key factor. Although preliminary agreements have been reached with China and the United Kingdom, negotiations with Canada, Mexico, and the European Union are still unresolved. Analysts point out that recent tariff hikes have exceeded market expectations, reinforcing gold’s role as a hedge against trade disruptions. Second, the U.S.

debt outlook continues to deteriorate. The proposed “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” is projected to add $2.4 trillion to the federal deficit between 2025 and 2034, pushing the debt-to-GDP ratio from 117.1% to 123.8%. Historically, unsustainable debt levels have supported higher gold prices. Third, there are concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve. President Trump’s criticism of Chair Jerome Powell has raised fears of political interference in monetary policy. Analysts warn that a repeat of the 1979 G.

William Miller era, marked by political pressure and rising inflation, could trigger another surge in gold prices. *Average, highest, and lowest gold prices for 2026 are based on the below price predictions and forecasts. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. The information provided is for informational purposes only. No information, materials, services, or other content provided on this page is a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or any financial, investment, or other advice. Always seek independent consultation from a professional before making any investment.

Gold price predictions for 2026 indicate widespread bullish sentiment, as the broader market suffers under the weight of macroeconomic decay, geopolitical disruption, and political volatility. Following a months-long breather in the middle of 2025, gold is expected to wake up with renewed energy to the upside. Although it’s impossible to predict precisely where gold prices are headed in 2026, looking at what the experts are saying can give investors a more accurate perspective on the market’s trajectory. Following a more than 27% surge in 2024, gold entered 2025 with already bullish expectations baked into forecasts. Once again, the yellow metal shattered even those optimistic projections, forcing analysts and institutions into a familiar pattern of upward revisions, only to see prices surge beyond them yet again. (What's moving Sensex and Nifty Track latest market news, stock tips, Budget 2025, Share Market on Budget 2025 and expert advice, on ETMarkets.

Also, ETMarkets.com is now on Telegram. For fastest news alerts on financial markets, investment strategies and stocks alerts, subscribe to our Telegram feeds .) Subscribe to ET Prime and read the Economic Times ePaper Online.and Sensex Today. Top Trending Stocks: SBI Share Price, Axis Bank Share Price, HDFC Bank Share Price, Infosys Share Price, Wipro Share Price, NTPC Share Price (What's moving Sensex and Nifty Track latest market news, stock tips, Budget 2025, Share Market on Budget 2025 and expert advice, on ETMarkets. Also, ETMarkets.com is now on Telegram.

For fastest news alerts on financial markets, investment strategies and stocks alerts, subscribe to our Telegram feeds .) Subscribe to ET Prime and read the Economic Times ePaper Online.and Sensex Today. Gold entered 2026 at levels few institutions believed possible just two years earlier. An extraordinary 2025 rally driven by aggressive central-bank buying, persistent geopolitical tension, and expectations of monetary easing pushed prices to all-time highs above $4,300 per ounce and forced banks to rewrite their outlooks. This article consolidates the most authoritative projections from major banks and respected analysts, along with the relevant forward-looking forecasts from earlier institutional research, so you can track how projections have changed over time. The chart below shows real-time gold spot prices tracked by Lear Capital and updated throughout the trading day.

Before gold accelerated far beyond expectations, several institutions issued more conservative targets. Some of these remain useful as reference points that illustrate how sharply sentiment has changed. These earlier forecasts now read like the first chapter in a much larger price repricing. By the end of 2025, gold had sailed past $4,000, prompting an industry-wide reset of forward expectations. Ernest Hoffman is a Crypto and Market Reporter for Kitco News. He has over 15 years of experience as a writer, editor, broadcaster and producer for media, educational and cultural organizations.

Ernest began working in market news in 2007, establishing the broadcast division of CEP News in Montreal, Canada, where he developed the fastest web-based audio news service in the world and produced economic news... He has a Bachelor's degree Specialization in Journalism from Concordia University. You can reach Ernest at 1-514-670-1339.

Gold Price Forecast 2026 Wisdomtree These 5 Looming Risks Could Send

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