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Gold Price Forecast 2026 Will It Reach 5000 Per Ounce

Bonisiwe Shabane
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gold price forecast 2026 will it reach 5000 per ounce

Gold entered 2026 at levels few institutions believed possible just two years earlier. An extraordinary 2025 rally driven by aggressive central-bank buying, persistent geopolitical tension, and expectations of monetary easing pushed prices to all-time highs above $4,300 per ounce and forced banks to rewrite their outlooks. This article consolidates the most authoritative projections from major banks and respected analysts, along with the relevant forward-looking forecasts from earlier institutional research, so you can track how projections have changed over time. The chart below shows real-time gold spot prices tracked by Lear Capital and updated throughout the trading day. Before gold accelerated far beyond expectations, several institutions issued more conservative targets. Some of these remain useful as reference points that illustrate how sharply sentiment has changed.

These earlier forecasts now read like the first chapter in a much larger price repricing. By the end of 2025, gold had sailed past $4,000, prompting an industry-wide reset of forward expectations. Gold has glittered this year. And there's good reason to expect the precious metal to continue hitting record highs in the year ahead. Several Wall Street firms issued reports this week showing that analysts and investors believe the price of gold will rise in 2026, with some forecasting it could hit $5,000 per troy ounce, implying upside... Many of the factors that have led investors to pour money into the traditional safe-haven asset are likely to remain in play, experts say.

Gold has hit a series of record highs this year amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty that isn't expected to subside anytime soon. Some prominent investors have recently recommended that investors should increase their allocation to gold. Meanwhile, many Americans have rushed to sell gold jewelry to take advantage of high prices. Goldman Sachs on Friday said that nearly 70% of institutional investors expect gold prices to continue rising, with 36% saying the price will top $5,000 by the end of 2026, according to a survey... Investors cited continued buying by central banks around the world and fiscal concerns as the biggest factors contributing to gold's rise. Gold was trading at $4,220 an ounce Friday morning.

(Read Investopedia's full coverage of today's trading here.)That's down from a record high just below $4,400 set in October, but still 60% higher than where it started 2025. Gold's price surge has far outpaced the performance of the benchmark S&P 500 stock index. GOLD and SILVER spiked lower on Thursday, briefly retreating from this week's record highs on surprise weakness in US inflation data and jobless benefit claims, while New York's S&P500 stock index rallied for the... With silver now rising almost 125% for the year as 2026 forecasts put gold at $5000 per ounce, platinum and palladium prices also dropped and rebounded, trading back towards new 17-year and 3-year highs... "2025 is collectively the largest underestimate/margin of error for all 4 metals in the LBMA's analyst polling history," says strategist Nicky Shiels at Swiss refiners and finance group MKS Pamp, pointing to the bullion... "No one saw these prices coming.

That alone may lead to some overcompensation for 2026 estimates (ie, too bullish) when they are released in January." With gold back above $4330 per Troy ounce on Thursday afternoon in London, "analysts at J.P.Morgan, Bank of America and consultancy Metals Focus now see bullion hitting $5,000 per troy ounce in 2026," says... Gold remains one of the strongest-performing assets, and the gold rally 2026 shows no signs of slowing. Driven by central-bank demand, rate cuts, and fiscal weakness, experts say this bull market could extend well into next year — here’s why. Gold Price Prediction 2026: Gold has shattered records above $4,000 per ounce, fueled by central bank demand, inflation, and global uncertainty. With major banks now projecting $5,000 gold by 2026, investors are asking how much higher this bull market can go — and how to position their portfolios for the next five years.

New Morningstar data shows gold outpacing many assets over 1–20 years. See why a 5–15% allocation can strengthen portfolios—and how to own gold the right way. Gold and silver have never moved in straight lines. Their history is written in gold cycles — long stretches of dormancy, interrupted by explosive bull markets where both metals have delivered life-changing gains. For investors looking to add gold or silver to their portfolio, understanding these gold cycles is essential. It shows how gold and silver respond to inflation, crises, and monetary shifts — and why they remain indispensable wealth protectors today.

The 1970s: Inflation Ignites Gold’s First Modern Super-Cycle When the U.S. abandoned the gold standard in 1971, gold was set free to trade. The timing could not have Every second, millions of dollars worth of gold changes hands across global markets. In 2024, daily gold trading volume grew to an astounding $227 billion — a 39% jump from 2023’s $163 billion average. This explosive growth isn’t just a number; it’s a powerful signal of gold’s evolving role in modern portfolios and a roadmap for savvy investors.

What Is Gold Trading Volume and Why Should You Care? Gold trading volume represents the total dollar value of gold traded across all markets within a specific timeframe. This encompasses: Unlike many commodities, gold enjoys exceptional market liquidity — rivaling major currencies and Ernest Hoffman is a Crypto and Market Reporter for Kitco News. He has over 15 years of experience as a writer, editor, broadcaster and producer for media, educational and cultural organizations. Ernest began working in market news in 2007, establishing the broadcast division of CEP News in Montreal, Canada, where he developed the fastest web-based audio news service in the world and produced economic news...

He has a Bachelor's degree Specialization in Journalism from Concordia University. You can reach Ernest at 1-514-670-1339. Listen to this article in summarized format (Catch all the US News, UK News, Canada News, International Breaking News Events, and Latest News Updates on The Economic Times.) Download The Economic Times News App to get Daily International News Updates. (Catch all the US News, UK News, Canada News, International Breaking News Events, and Latest News Updates on The Economic Times.)

Download The Economic Times News App to get Daily International News Updates. Throughout 2025, gold maintained a robust upward trajectory, repeatedly setting new record highs. Strong demand for safe-haven investments and increased gold holdings by global central banks provided significant support. This performance reinforced gold’s status as a premier global safe-haven asset and a key portfolio hedging instrument, establishing a solid foundation for the 2026 market outlook. Moreover, expectations of mid-term volatility in the US Dollar Index and persistent global economic uncertainty have driven capital flows from risk assets toward defensive assets like gold. Fundamentally, several factors will play a pivotal role in shaping gold prices in 2026:

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Outlook: Anticipated interest rate cuts are likely to reduce real yields and spur demand for gold. This expectation is already largely priced into the market. Global Political and Economic Uncertainty: Heightened geopolitical tensions and ongoing trade disputes continue to enhance gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. Gold prices surged in 2025 due to trade tensions, central bank and ETF demand. What is the gold price forecast for 2026 and beyond?

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