Ai In The 2024 Election Most Republicans Pew Research Center

Bonisiwe Shabane

-Dec 6, 2025, 9:21 AM

ai in the 2024 election most republicans pew research center

Amid growing unease over the role of artificial intelligence in everyday life, a majority of Americans say they are concerned about the impact of AI on the 2024 presidential campaign. Americans also express little confidence in major technology companies to prevent misuse of their platforms to influence the election. Pew Research Center conducted this analysis to understand Americans’ views of the influence of artificial intelligence and technology companies on the 2024 presidential election. As part of a larger study, we surveyed 9,720 adults from Aug. 26 to Sept. 2, 2024.

Everyone who took part in this survey is a member of the Center’s American Trends Panel (ATP), a group of people recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses who have agreed to take... This kind of recruitment gives nearly all U.S. adults a chance of selection. Surveys were conducted either online or by telephone with a live interviewer. The survey is weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education and other factors.

Read more about the ATP’s methodology. Here are the questions used for this analysis, the topline and the survey methodology. For the most part, voting patterns across demographic groups in the 2024 presidential election were not substantially different from the 2020 and 2016 elections. But Donald Trump’s gains among several key groups of voters proved decisive in his 2024 victory.To explore voting patterns among subgroups over time, refer to detailed tables. Hispanic voters were divided in 2024, a major shift from 2020 and 2016. In 2020, Joe Biden won Hispanic voters by 25 percentage points, and Hispanic voters supported Hillary Clinton by an even wider margin in 2016.

But Trump drew nearly even with Kamala Harris among Hispanic voters, losing among them by only 3 points. Black voters also moved to Trump but remained overwhelmingly Democratic.Trump nearly doubled his support among Black voters between 2020 and 2024: 8% voted for him in 2020 vs. 15% last year. Still, 83% of Black voters backed Harris. Men – especially men under 50 – backed Trump by larger margins. Men supported Trump by a wider margin than in 2020.

Trump narrowly won men under age 50, a shift from 2020 when men in that age group favored Biden by 10 points. As in prior elections, a change in voters’ partisan allegiances – switching from the Democratic to the Republican candidate or vice versa – proved to be a less important factor in Trump’s victory than... In the overall electorate and among key demographic groups, Republican-leaning eligible voters simply were more likely to turn out than Democratic-leaning eligible voters in 2024. Our in-depth analysis of validated voters – those confirmed to have voted in the 2024 election – explores turnout, demographics and how people’s voting patterns changed over time. In this interactive feature, explore how changes between the 2020 and 2024 elections in how – and whether – people voted helped to return President Trump to office. Americans feel more “warmly” toward Trump today than after the 2020 or 2016 elections, and he draws broad confidence on the economy.

The economy was the most important issue for Trump voters this year; 93% of his supporters said it was very important to their vote. 90% of Harris voters, versus 57% of Trump voters, are confident the 2024 election will be administered well. Pew Research Center has gathered data around some of this year’s most pivotal news stories, from the U.S. presidential election and international conflicts to debates over immigration and the role of social media in society. Here’s a look back at 2024 through 14 of our most striking research findings. These are just a small slice of the Center’s many research publications from this year.

(In these findings, Republicans and Democrats also include independents who lean toward each party.) The U.S. centenarian population is projected to more than quadruple over the next 30 years. An estimated 101,000 Americans were 100 or older in 2024 – including former President Jimmy Carter, who reached the milestone in October. By 2054, the number of centenarians in the United States is projected to rise to around 422,000, according to a January analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data.

Today, 78% of Americans in their 100s are women and 22% are men. There are also racial and ethnic differences within this group: 77% of centenarians are White, while far fewer are Black (8%), Asian (7%) or Hispanic (6%). White adults are expected to still make up the majority of U.S. centenarians by 2054, though their share is projected to fall slightly to 72%. Asian centenarians are also expected to make up a smaller share by 2054 (5%), while the shares of Hispanic (11%) and Black (10%) centenarians will grow. Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand how Americans’ views of artificial intelligence compare with the views of those who have expertise in the field.

This report includes findings from a survey of U.S. adults, a survey of AI experts and a series of in-depth interviews with experts. To understand the views of the American public, we surveyed 5,410 adults from Aug. 12 to Aug. 18, 2024. Everyone who took part in this survey is a member of the Center’s American Trends Panel (ATP), a group of people recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses who have agreed to take...

This kind of recruitment gives nearly all U.S. adults a chance of selection. Interviews were conducted either online or by telephone with a live interviewer. The survey is weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education and other factors. Read more about the ATP’s methodology.

To understand the views of AI experts, we surveyed 1,013 AI experts living in the United States from Aug. 14 to Oct. 31, 2024. To create the sample, Center researchers compiled a list of authors and presenters at 21 AI-related conferences held in 2023 or 2024. Surveys were conducted online, and experts were asked to confirm that they live in the U.S. and that their work or research relates to AI before proceeding.

Because there is no definitive source of population benchmarks for this group, responses from the expert survey are unweighted. They are only representative of the views of experts who responded to the survey. To further explore expert views, we conducted 30 in-depth interviews with AI experts from Oct. 18 to Nov. 26, 2024. The interviews were designed to give AI experts across a range of different demographic dimensions, including race, ethnicity and gender, a chance to elaborate on their views.

However, the in-depth interviews are not representative of any demographic group or AI experts as a whole. Quotes have been lightly edited for grammar and clarity. Here are the questions used for this report, the toplines and the methodology. Pew Research Center conducted this study to better understand which voters cast ballots in the 2024 presidential election and how they voted. We also wanted to compare how turnout and vote choices differed from previous elections in 2020 and 2016. Measuring turnout among different groups in the electorate is challenging; it is particularly difficult to assess changes in turnout from election to election.Panel-based survey data provides us a unique opportunity to study elections.

By surveying the same people over time and measuring their choice among the candidates (for both voters and nonvoters), we can more clearly see how differences in who stays home – and who turns... We can also measure how adults’ partisan voting preferences change (or do not change) between elections.For this study, we surveyed U.S. adults on our nationally representative American Trends Panel (ATP). We verified their turnout using commercial voter files that aggregate publicly available official state turnout records. The first analysis of validated voters was completed after the 2016 election. Turnout was validated for subsequent elections in 2018, 2020, 2022 and 2024.

Each state and the District of Columbia compiles these publicly available turnout records as part of their routine election administration. To validate 2024 election turnout, we attempted to match adult citizens who are part of the ATP to a turnout record in at least one of three commercial voter files: one that serves conservative... A member of the ATP is considered a validated voter for a given election if they: Those who said they did not vote in an election are considered nonvoters. Nonvoters also include anyone – regardless of their self-reported vote – for whom we could not locate a voting record in any of the three commercial voter files. Those who could not be matched were also considered nonvoters.

Overall, 94% of panelists who we attempted to match were successfully matched to at least one of the three voter files. The survey is weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education and other factors. For benchmarks of partisan affiliation within racial and ethnic categories, we used estimates produced by the Center’s 2023-24 Religious Landscape Study of more than 36,000 adults. In addition, this survey is weighted to benchmarks for voter turnout and presidential vote preference. Americans are worried about the effect of artificial intelligence on the election, as polls show, but the public probably doesn’t understand the full extent of its influence on what they experience every day, an...

There have been obvious examples of AI-generated misinformation, like false audio of President Joe Biden, a fake video about voting irregularities, or memes intended to generate emotion or spread propaganda. AI is also regularly used to generate legitimate campaign messages, like phone calls and texts. But behind those public examples, there are the “unseen” jobs AI is performing in the election, said Cody Buntain, an assistant professor at the University of Maryland’s College of Information, most prominently in determining... “The systems that determine what piece of content is put in front of you, that’s AI at work,” Buntain said. “From TikTok’s For You Page, the X’s feed or profile page to Facebook’s feed. All that is AI driven.”

Ai In The 2024 Election Most Republicans Pew Research Center

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