University of Kwazulu-Natal

A Pro Trump Group S Risky Bet On Infrequent Voters Seems To Have Paid

Bonisiwe Shabane
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a pro trump group s risky bet on infrequent voters seems to have paid

Heading into the 2024 election, the conservative group Turning Point Action made a risky and expensive bet as it tried to fix Republicans’ early-voting problem: It zeroed in on infrequent voters who seemed to... Calling its effort “Chase the Vote,” the group focused heavily on Arizona, where it is based and says it spent tens of millions of dollars to help elect Donald J. Trump. Hundreds of paid staff members worked to build enduring relationships with Arizonans whom Turning Point saw as friendly to Republicans, targeting a smaller universe of voters than traditional canvassing operations. Turning Point’s gamble appears to have paid off, at least in Arizona. Newly released voting data compiled by TargetSmart, a Democratic polling firm, shows a distinct G.O.P.

advantage among infrequent voters: About 30,000 registered Republicans in Arizona who had not voted since at least 2018 cast a ballot this year. Democrats turned out just 20,000 of the same types of voters. Among slightly more reliable voters — those who skipped the 2022 midterm elections but voted in other recent elections — Republicans still held an edge in Arizona, turning out 185,000 compared with 157,000 for... And the G.O.P. had an even greater advantage among first-time voters, with 202,000 such Republicans casting a ballot and just 145,000 such Democrats doing the same. President-elect Donald Trump and his Republican allies took a gamble by spending millions of dollars to attract infrequent voters — and data show the effort paid off in Arizona.

The small but significant win could reshape how Republicans tailor their campaigns to key voting blocs. Conservative organization Turning Point Action’s effort “Chase the Vote” involved tens of millions of dollars and hundreds of paid staffers whose jobs were to cultivate relationships with Arizonans they believed were friendly to Republicans... And the risk was worth it in the Grand Canyon State, at least. Data from TargetSmart, a Democratic polling firm, showed that Republicans had the advantage in turning out infrequent voters in Arizona. Around 30,000 registered Republicans who had not voted since at least 2018 cast a ballot, compared to Democrats who turned out 20,000 of the same voters, according to the New York Times. Republicans also held an edge over Democrats among voters who skipped the 2022 midterm elections, during which the GOP’s expected red wave significantly missed the mark, but voted in other recent elections.

The GOP turned out 185,000 of those voters compared to Democrats turning out 157,000. Additional reporting by Jason Lange, editing by Ross Colvin and Claudia Parsons Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab Alexandra covers the 2024 U.S. presidential race, with a focus on Republicans, donors and AI. Previously, she spent four years in Venezuela reporting on the humanitarian crisis and investigating corruption.

She has also worked in India, Chile and Argentina. Alexandra was Reuters' Reporter of the Year and has won an Overseas Press Club award. Gram Slattery is a White House correspondent in Washington, focusing on national security, intelligence and foreign affairs. He was previously a national political correspondent, covering the 2024 presidential campaign. From 2015 to 2022, he held postings in Rio de Janeiro, Sao Paulo and Santiago, Chile, and he has reported extensively throughout Latin America. ‘Trump Force Captains’ scramble to contact those who do not regularly vote, tantalised by potential prizes

The Trump campaign is targeting “non-voters” in battleground states in the hope they can secure his return to the White House. Volunteers known as “Trump Force Captains” are being tasked with knocking on the doors of “low propensity” voters - those who do not cast a ballot every election. The Republican nominee’s campaign is focusing on infrequent voters in the critical battleground states where just tens of thousands of votes could decide the election. Analysts have warned that it is a risky move to funnel the campaign’s limited resources into voters who are traditionally difficult to mobilise - but it is one that could pay off in spades. YORK, Pennsylvania, Sept 9 (Reuters) - As Trump campaign volunteers Rachel and Chris Gottberg prepared to knock on doors in York, Pennsylvania last month, their goal was to win over the infrequent voters that... Wearing red t-shirts emblazoned with "Trump Force Captain," they were among a handful of door knockers who had gathered in the Republican Party headquarters in this working-class city of about 45,000.

They planned to take along their eight-month-old baby in a stroller. The couple said they were focused on newly registered voters and what political campaigns call "low propensity" voters - people who don't show up every voting cycle and may even skip the presidential ballot... The Trump campaign and its allies are putting an unprecedented focus on targeting these infrequent voters in the seven battleground states that could decide the Nov. 5 election against Democrat Kamala Harris, according to interviews with three dozen Trump campaign staffers, grassroots groups allied to the campaign, Republican county party chairs, donors and a previously unreported donor call. This focus, which has not been previously reported in detail, is a high-risk, labor-intensive strategy that could bring in a wave of new voters but could also fall short if their targets ultimately stay...

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