2025 2026 Nfl Season Preview Dratings

Bonisiwe Shabane

-Nov 23, 2025, 12:03 AM

As the 2025-26 NFL season approaches, DRatings projections are in. We’ve run the numbers across all 32 franchises, simulating the season thousands of times to provide projected records, playoff probabilities, and Super Bowl chances. The results highlight a league that looks top-heavy with Buffalo and Baltimore separating from the pack. However, there is plenty of parity in the middle tiers where playoff races could come down to December. Here’s how the league is shaping up division by division. Philadelphia Eagles (10.9-6.1 | 57.6% Division | 76.6% Playoffs | 10.4% SB) The Eagles enter the season as clear favorites in the NFC East, with the only double-digit win projection and a dominant playoff...

Washington Commanders (9-8 | 23.6% Division | 46.3% Playoffs | 2% SB) Washington projects as a fringe playoff team—competitive, but mostly reliant on wild-card positioning. We dig into the data behind variance and expectation. BetAnything truly stands out as an exemplary sportsbook in the industry. Their reliability is solid, […] Our list of the best books across the globe. Find out who makes our top five sweepstakes sportsbook list.

We've been all over Sin City and are here to discuss the best sportsbooks on the Las Vegas strip. Here is our 2025-2026 NFL season preview based on 1,000 simulations. Our NFL preview of team totals for the 2024 season. How much is a half a point worth for each number n the spread? Analyzing the half point values at common NFL Totals. Our preview for all 32 teams in the NFL for the 2022 season.

Welcome back to my annual exercise of predicting all 272 NFL regular-season games. The theme this year was restraint. This time of year, we’re often swept away by countless narratives, including the idea that there are certain teams preparing to cross a threshold from good to great. (This year’s Broncos come to mind.) With that comes the urge to put the team in a position to win its division or increase its win total like the Commanders did when they shocked... The Commanders are now considered a hot team to perhaps make another leap, but are we going to overlook the rigors of their schedule and simply fast-pass Washington to the top of the NFC... As I write this, the Cowboys are marred in another idiotic mess of their own making, which led to Micah Parsons’s trade request.

Though the last time Jerry Jones insulted a star player this deeply (back in 1993 with Emmitt Smith), the team won 12 games and a Super Bowl. The Dallas roster is still solid. Along those lines, Aaron Rodgers has looked, well, like a 41-year-old working with all new receivers for the first time. Still, am I really going to dip the Steelers below .500 for the first time in Mike Tomlin’s coaching career? There are three teams in particular on this list—the Cardinals, Jaguars and Panthers—that I expect I will end up wrong about. However, this is the point of the exercise.

As I say every year, it’s easy for someone to go through a team’s schedule and say, ‘Oh sure, nine wins.’ The issue is ignoring the context of everything else happening around those teams. It all matters. So while these may be the record predictions you agree with least, I want to encourage you to focus on the process itself. Every other pie-in-the-sky win-loss projection that you see is simply feeding you dessert. This version is forcing you to eat some damn vegetables. Ready?

Let’s dive in. And check out the full projected playoff seedings at the bottom. The 2025 NFL schedule has been released. The season will begin Sept. 4, when the Cowboys visit the Super Bowl-champion Eagles. The next night, the Chargers play the Chiefs in Brazil, beginning a record seven-game international slate, which includes the first NFL game in Ireland, three in England, and one each in Germany and Spain.

The 2025 schedule also features three games on Thanksgiving, one on Black Friday and a Christmas Day tripleheader. While a lot is bound to change from mid-May to kickoff at Lincoln Financial Field on Sept. 4, our experts broke down every team's schedule, predicting final records and offering insight and analysis. Henry McKenna: The Bills are going to sit atop the AFC East comfortably, yet again. Given the division’s crop of quarterbacks and/or the lack of supporting cast, it’s extremely hard to imagine anyone unseating Josh Allen. The star QB, coach Sean McDermott and GM Brandon Beane have a strong understanding of one another.

Maybe a Super Bowl has eluded the Bills, but they have won five straight divisional titles — and that run isn’t stopping in 2025. They’ll implement their additions (edge Joey Bosa, WR Joshua Palmer, CB Maxwell Hairston) to make up for their losses. And this core of returners, including their entire hulking offensive line, should stay dominant in the regular season. As for the postseason? Well, let’s get there when we get there. Henry McKenna: The Jets had no shortage of talent last year, and I’m willing to bet the organization couldn’t get the most out of its players because of the profound dysfunction stemming from awkward...

Every single one of those guys is gone, for better and for worse. (Mostly for better.) There’s a new era of coach Aaron Glenn, GM Darren Mougey and QB Justin Fields. I recently saw a Jets fan tweet that he wants the team to finish this season at either 5-12 or 12-5. In the playoffs. Or in the top 10 of the draft. But I’m sorry to say that I see it cutting right down the middle.

No playoffs. Or a top-10 pick. And that’ll make for a tough decision for New York about what to do with Fields in 2026. Henry McKenna: It won’t be the progress that Patriots fans want to see, given the massive spending in free agency and the analysts’ rave reviews for New England’s draft. But Patriots fans had it so dang good for so long that they don’t understand how long it can take to get out of the basement. Ask the Jaguars.

Ask the Browns. They can’t get out. Ask the Lions. Ask the Texans. It seemed they’d never get out. Point is, Mike Vrabel is a good coach.

Quarterback Drake Maye is a good prospect. The Patriots now have more talent than last year. That’s good for a few more wins than last year. But it does not a playoff contender make. Not in one year. With a premium subscription, Versus Sports Simulator gives you everything you need to make informed decisions:

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2025 2026 Nfl Season Preview Dratings

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