10 Fantasy Football League Winners Or Busts Top Draft Values And

Bonisiwe Shabane

-Nov 2, 2025, 1:49 AM

10 fantasy football league winners or busts top draft values and

Ultimate Sports Networks is for people in sports to connect with professionals around the world. Join 1000s of other members on Telegram today. Dave analyzes 10 fantasy football top sleepers and bust candidates for the 2025 season. Read about Jordan Love, Travis Kelce, Baker Mayfield, Josh Downs, and more. The 2025 fantasy football season is fast approaching. Experienced managers know that there is a significant amount of work ahead to adequately prepare their drafts.

Whatever your approach is on draft day, it's always important to remember one thing. You can't win your league on draft day, but you sure can lose it. To that end, managers must spend equal time studying whom to draft and whom to avoid. Today, we use average draft position (ADP) data from FFPC (Fantasy Football Players Championship) leagues to examine potential sleepers to target as well as potential busts to fade. Make sure you're following RotoBaller on X and check out RotoBaller.com for all your fantasy football needs. Here are 10 sleepers and busts for 2025 fantasy football leagues.

Editor's Note: Steer clear of costly draft mistakes with RotoBaller's expert Fantasy Football Bust analysis. We break down overvalued players, potential letdowns, and risky ADPs to avoid, so you can build a smarter, safer roster. Minnesota acquired Mason this offseason in a trade with the San Francisco 49ers. Mason was highly effective while filling in for an injured Christian McCaffrey in 2024. In 12 games, he ran for 789 yards and scored three touchdowns. His advanced metrics were also strong.

Among 46 backs with 100+ carries, Mason finished sixth in MTF/ATT. The Vikings did re-sign Aaron Jones to a new contract, but have been very vocal about scaling back his workload in 2025. While it's unlikely Mason completely takes over the starting job, he should receive plenty of touches as part of a committee with Jones. This means Mason will provide standalone value and could be a viable flex play. Should Jones miss time due to injury, Mason would then be in line for a massive workload. Managers should aggressively target him in the latter half of their fantasy drafts.

Another Jacksonville Jaguar makes our list. Tuten was selected at the top of the fourth round by the Jaguars in the NFL Draft. Normally, Day 3 running backs are not guaranteed much, but Tuten was a high-priority target for new Jaguars general manager James Gladstone. Tuten is a highly athletic and talented rusher. What makes him special is his elite speed. It stands out on film and makes him a threat to score from anywhere on the field.

The fact that Gladstone specifically mentioned Tuten's name during his interviews for the general manager job should not be overlooked. The team is very bullish on his outlook. The one bugaboo for Tuten in college was his ball security. Unfortunately, that issue reared its ugly head early on in the Jaguars' minicamp. Hopefully, that experience motivates Tuten to improve his ball security. If it does, the sky could be the limit.

Jaguars head coach Liam Coen has recently expressed support for incumbent starter Travis Etienne Jr. He figures to begin the season as the starter. However, it's worth noting that Etienne has not been an efficient rusher over the last two years. Also, the team was reportedly prepared to draft running backs Ashton Jeanty and RJ Harvey in the NFL Draft, but those plans didn't materialize. There was also a recent report suggesting that Jacksonville could experiment with other options if Etienne starts slowly. If Etienne struggles to begin the season, the team could give Tuten more touches.

If he gets more work, Tuten has the talent needed to become an elite fantasy option. He's an ideal late-round target in all fantasy drafts. Downs' final 2024 numbers may not blow you away, but when we look under the hood, there are some good reasons to be excited about his future. Per Fantasy Points Data Suite, Downs registered a 30 percent targets per route run (TPRR), a 23.9 percent target share, and a 2.29 yards per route run (YPRR). Strong scores in these metrics highly correlate with success in fantasy football. The elephant in the room regarding the Colts is their current quarterback situation.

Anthony Richardson struggled mightily this past season, and it looks like he could be a bust. However, the team signed Daniel Jones to a one-year, $14 million contract this offseason. Jones failed as the New York Giants' starting quarterback, but he consistently targeted Malik Nabers last year. The veteran signal-caller is certainly an upgrade as a passer over what we've seen from Richardson so far. Jones' arrival could be good news for Downs' fantasy value, as he was most successful last year when Joe Flacco was under center. Downs is a talented receiver and just needs competent quarterback play to thrive.

Indianapolis did select former Penn State tight end Tyler Warren with the 14th pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. He certainly adds more target competition to an already crowded receiving corps. However, Warren is not as far along in his development as many believe and could struggle a bit in Year 1. Downs' situation is far from ideal, but he is a solid separator and can draw targets at a high rate. His underlying data is also super encouraging. Downs is good enough to blow past his current ADP.

He's one of the more underrated receivers in the league and could break out in a big way if all goes right. There's a narrative going around that Love regressed during his second season as Green Bay's starting quarterback. While that might be technically true from a fantasy football standpoint (16.3 points per game in 2024 compared to 19.4 points per game in 2023), the data does not support this narrative. Despite dealing with several injuries last year, Love still managed a well above-average touchdown rate of 5.9%. This was better than the 5.2% rate he posted in 2023 when he finished as the overall QB5. The main difference for Love was that Green Bay threw the ball significantly less last year compared to 2023.

Love injured his knee and groin in 2024, and although he missed a few games due to the knee injury, he managed to play through the groin injury. It's more likely than not that the Packers staff knew Love wasn't 100% healthy and therefore chose to run the ball more often to help him out. Love already has a top-5 fantasy finish to his name, and he's finished with a high touchdown rate in each of his first two seasons. This is a clear trend and a sign that Love is capable of producing a huge outlier touchdown season if Green Bay airs it out more this year. The selection of receiver Matthew Golden in the 2025 NFL Draft, along with the team's plans to further incorporate tight end Tucker Kraft into the passing game, suggests that Green Bay may throw the... There is 40+ touchdown upside to Love's game, but most fantasy managers don't realize this.

Take advantage, and get him on your team. We are going with a super-deep sleeper for our final pick. The Bears selected Monangai in the seventh round of the 2025 NFL Draft. He played well during his final two years at Rutgers. The 2024 season was his best as he ran for 1,279 rushing yards and 13 rushing touchdowns. Monangai is a powerful rusher and is known for his ability to break tackles.

Among 154 collegiate rushers with 100+ carries, Monangai finished 10th in PFF's missed tackles forced. This is noteworthy because this is a metric that translates very well to the NFL. The Bears were initially rumored to be in the mix to sign veteran running backs Nick Chubb and J.K. Dobbins this offseason. However, both players signed elsewhere, and that means there's an opening for Monangai to function as the team's power back behind D'Andre Swift. David Montgomery performed well in this role during head coach Ben Johnson's days with the Detroit Lions.

If Monangai earns the David Montgomery role in Chicago, he would be in line for a bigger workload than some are expecting. For what it's worth, Chicago is reportedly quite bullish on Monangai, and that could be why the team opted not to sign Chubb or Dobbins. Managers should feel comfortable selecting Monangai with one of their final draft picks. He shouldn't be in high demand and has a real chance at getting significant playing time as a rookie. He could be Chicago's RB2 by the time the 2025 season begins. Barkley is coming off an all-world 2024 season.

He ran for a career-high 2,005 rushing yards and became the ninth player in NFL history to eclipse the 2,000-yard mark. Barkley has been one of the first players picked in early FFPC drafts. That is certainly understandable, given his performance in the 2024 season. However, it's worth pointing out that even with Barkley's incredible 2024, he still didn't finish as the top back in full-PPR leagues. He also touched the football 482 times last year (including playoffs). That is an absurd amount of touches for any running back to handle.

There's a long history of running back production declining following a season with this kind of usage. Barkley has also had his fair share of injury issues throughout his career. It's fair to wonder if all that work will catch up to him in 2025. Even if he remains healthy, it will be very challenging for Barkley to replicate his 2024 production. He is more likely to regress to his career means than put up another 2,000-yard effort. So, while it's understandable that gamers are excited to select him after what we saw last year, he may not be as safe a selection as early drafters think.

10 Fantasy Football League Winners Or Busts Top Draft Values And

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